Selection of variables in small business failure analysismean selection vs. median selection

  1. María T. Tascón 1
  2. Francisco J. Castaño 1
  1. 1 Universidad de León
    info

    Universidad de León

    León, España

    ROR https://ror.org/02tzt0b78

Journal:
Revista de métodos cuantitativos para la economía y la empresa

ISSN: 1886-516X

Year of publication: 2017

Volume: 24

Pages: 54-88

Type: Article

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More publications in: Revista de métodos cuantitativos para la economía y la empresa

Abstract

Este trabajo se ocupa de uno de los procesos más determinantes en la evaluación del fracaso empresarial: la selección de variables. Tras una preselección de variables basada en los resultados empíricos de la literatura previa, llevamos a cabo una selección estadística de variables sobre una muestra de empresas pequeñas, utilizando tanto diferencias en medias como diferencias en medianas. Como las variables resultantes difieren con el test, hemos utilizado un variado grupo de métodos de evaluación de fracaso empresarial (LDA, QDA, LogDA, KNNDA, logit y probit) con el fin de identificar las implicaciones de usar uno u otro test. Nuestros resultados muestran que la naturaleza de la muestra determina no solo el test de selección estadística de variables, sino también los métodos más apropiados para evaluar el fracaso empresarial, lo que constituye nuestra principal contribución. Además, el trabajo proporciona nueva evidencia sobre la adición de información cualitativa (incidencias de pago), siendo escasa la evidencia previa para pymes.

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